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Archive for the ‘MVP’ Category

Despite the St. Louis Cardinals and the Albert Pujols camp breaking off talks until the off season,  the speculation about where the games best hitter will be sign will continue throughout the season. The White Sox GM Kenny Williams has already told everyone what he thinks of Albert’s salary demands.  He is by far the best hitter I have seen. Even though he has not been at 100% health wise the past few years,  he has still performed at an elite level . Just take the Quad which takes into account both counting stats in Times on Base, and Total Bases and the rate stats in On Base Percentage, Slugging average.

Times on Base
Albert Pujols  290
Prince Fielder 286
Rickie Weeks 276
Joey Votto 275
Adrian Gonzalez  271
Matt Holliday  263
Aubrey Huff 257
Jayson Werth 253
Ryan Braun 250
Dan Uggla 249
Kelly Johnson 247
Jason Heyward 245
Carlos Gonzalez 239
Andrew McCutchen 238
David Wright 237
Ryan Zimmerman 234
Hanley Ramirez 234

Total Bases (BABIP)
Carlos Gonzalez 351 0.384
Albert Pujols 350 0.297
Joey Votto 328 0.361
Matt Holliday 317 0.331
Ryan Braun  310 0.331
Rickie Weeks 302  0.332
Adrian Gonzalez 302 0.322
Dan Uggla 299  0.330
Adam Dunn 299 0.329
David Wright 295  0.335
Jayson Werth 295 0.352
Corey Hart 293  0.324
Kelly Johnson 290 0.339
Aubrey Huff 288 1 0.303
Hunter Pence 283 6 0.304
Casey McGehee 283  0.306
On Base Percentage (BB%)
Joey Votto 0.424 14.04%
Albert Pujols  0.414 14.71%
Prince Fielder  0.401 15.97%
Carlos Ruiz 8   0.400 12.7%
Jason Heyward 0.393 14.61%
Geovany Soto  0.393 16.02%
Adrian Gonzalez  0.393 13.48%
Matt Holliday   0.390 10.22%
Josh Willingham  0.389 14.89%
Ryan Zimmerman 0.388 11.44%
Jayson Werth  0.388 12.58%
Chase Utley  0.387 12.33%
Aubrey Huff  0.385 12.43%
Troy Tulowitzki  0.381 9.09%

Slugging (Contact Rate)
Joey Votto 0.600  77.15%
Carlos Gonzalez  0.598 77.00%
Albert Pujols 0.596  87.05%
Troy Tulowitzki 0.568 83.40% 0
Adam Dunn 0.536 64.34%
Jayson Werth 0.532  73.47%
Matt Holliday 0.532 84.40%
Corey Hart 0.525 74.91%
Adrian Gonzalez 80.71%
Ryan Zimmerman 0.510 81.33%
Dan Uggla 0.508 74.70%
Mike Stanton 0.507 65.74%
Aubrey Huff 0.506 84.01%
Ryan Howard 0.505  71.45%

The funny thing in all of these numbers is that Pujols is near the top in all the categories. But, his batting average with balls in play is below .300. This means he has gotten some bad luck and might be a better hitter than his numbers indicate. With Pujols slimmed down, and healthy there is no telling what he is capable of in 2011!

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We have heard rumors of Twins catcher Joe Mauer , the 2009 AL MVP,  going to the dance together with the Twins for the next 10 years.   Mauer’s 2009 season is one for the record books, leading the American league in Batting Average , On Base Percentage, Slugging,  OPS, and runs created.

Did the Mets rush oufielder Fernando Martinez to majors last season? His minor league career has shown flashes of great potential, but the ability to stay healthy has been his biggest drawback.

The Marcel projection system is either the most basic forecasting system, or the most advanced forecasting system. The Marcel 2010 projections can be found here.

With the acquisition of Roy Halladay, the trade of Cliff Lee, the free agent signing of Placido Polanco, you would wonder how the Phillies might stack up. Based On Shawn Smith’s Chone projection system, Phillies season is best summed up with two words, second place.

Miguel Cairo was one of the first ever Devil Ray players. We never knew he would  have such a useful  career as a super substitute utility player. There is even a projection system named after him. Here is where you can find the 2010 Cairo projections.

Lastly, pitchers and catchers in seven days.

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It is well known that Ryan Howard is one of the power hitting offensive forces of the past 4 years in the National league.  The Phillies have 18 million reasons they like the lefty slugger coming into the 2009 season. But, one thing I touched on a few weeks ago about Ryan Howard:

Every now and then you hear the whispers that Howard is simply just a good platoon hitter.

So, lets take a look at Howard’s track record with the righty lefty splits.

Name Year vs Lefty (AB) vs Righty (AB) vs Lefty  (HR) vs Righty (HR) vs Lefty (AVG) vs Righty (Avg ) vs Lefty (SLG) vs Righty (SLG)
Howard 2008 237 373 14 34 .224 .268 .451 .601
Howard 2007 209 320 16 31 .225 .297 .493 .644
Howard 2006 197 384 16 42 .279 .331 .558 .711
Howard 2005 61 251 1 21 .148 .323 .246 .645

So,  in the red columns we see Ryan Howard’s production against left handed pitching. In his three full seasons, in the rate categories against lefties he has continued his decline in batting average and slugging. His home run production against righties just about doubles his production against lefties.  To be fair, the Phillies are aware of the situation and he has received less at bats against lefties. The question remains though, would the Phillies be better off platooning him at first base.

I am certain they could find a right handed batter who could do better than a .224 batting average  against the southpaws.  Better yet, in fantasy leagues that allow for daily transactions, would you be better off sitting Howard against lefties.

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Pinto with his PMR uses play-by-play data to determine the probability of a ball in play being converted to an out based on six parameters: Direction of hit (a vector), The type of hit (Fly, ground, line drive, bunt), How hard the ball was hit (slow, medium, hard), The park, The handedness of the pitcher, The handedness of the batter.

Here are the 2008 rankings:

Catchers

First Base

Second Base

Shortstop

Third Base

Left Field

Center Field

Right Field

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It was with the Toronto Blue Jays that Jeff Kent first came on the radar.  He had some pop even back then with his bat when the Blue Jays were giving him some play at 3B.  The Mets did the unthinkable and traded the player who meant so much to the team in David Cone.  It was believed the center piece of that trade was Ryan Thompson who Peter Gammons seemed very high on. The other player was Jeff Kent who I atleast knew something about in his recent callup to the majors with Jays.

The Mets moved Kent immediately to 2B and Thompson came over soon enough and was thought to be Al Harazin’s CF for the next decade.  Its funny how things play out. Over the next few years with the Mets,  Kent showed decent power for a second baseman and after making the position change to a middle infielder, it was where he wanted to remain.  He was a gritty hard nosed player. Though, he never was known for his personality.

The Mets never waited to see what Kent the player would evolve to.  Nor did the Indians who used him for just the one season when they traded for him in a playoff run. It was his time beginning with the Giants that Jeff Kent took his game to the next level and became the player we will remember him as. He became one of the most feared hitters in the game, packaged in a middle infielders body. He did it right way we believe even though he played in the steroid era.  He went on to become the 2B baseman that we all compare the new wave of elite second baseman to. A name Chase Utley comes to mind.

Jeff Kent performed at an elite level for 10 or so years which brings me to my conviction that  Jeff Kent is a Hall Of Fame player. His entire career was not Hall of Fame material, like an Albert Pujols thus far. But, he has enough of a resume to make a case that he belongs in the Hall. His so called motorcycle accident, and his refusal to socialize with other players are factors, but they have nothing to do with what Jeff Kent did on the field.

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The Quad takes into account both counting stats in Times on Base, and Total Bases and the rate stats in On Base Percentage, Slugging average.

Below is the top 10 overall finishes in MLB over the course of the 2008 season (either American League or national League results). If a player makes it to the top 10 list, its really a great accomplishment.  The fact that Albert Pujols made the top overall in 3 of 4 catgeories, and got beat out by only Chipper Jones in On Base Percentage shows that the NL MVP voters got it right.

Dustin Pedroia placed 8th in times on Base, 10th in Total Bases, but was absent on any other top 10 finishes.  The American league numbers  were way below the National League at the top  of the heap. Albert Pujols was the most impressive offensive force in 2008. The fact that he was playing somewhat hurt makes this offensive display even more of a standout.

Times on Base

  1. Albert Pujols 296
  2. David Wright 287
  3. Nick Markakis 283
  4. Lance Berkman 279
  5. Grady Sizemore 279
  6. Hanley Ramirez 277
  7. Jose Reyes 271
  8. Dustin Pedroia 270
  9. Ichiro Suzuki 269
  10. Chase Utley 268

Total Bases

  1. Albert Pujols 342
  2. Ryan Braun 338
  3. David Wright 334
  4. Ryan Howard 331
  5. Miguel Cabrera 331
  6. Josh Hamilton 331
  7. Aubrey Huff 330
  8. Jose Reyes 327
  9. Chase Utley 325
  10. Dustin Pedroia 322

Slugging

  1. Albert Pujols 653
  2. Ryan Ludwick 591
  3. Chipper Jones 574
  4. Alex Rodriguez 573
  5. Carlos Quentin 571
  6. Kevin Youkilis 569
  7. Carlos Lee 569
  8. Lance Berkman 567
  9. Milton Bradley 563
  10. Ryan Braun 553

On Base Percentage

  1. Chipper Jones 470
  2. Albert Pujols 462
  3. Lance Berkman 420
  4. Joe Mauer 413
  5. Matt Holliday 409
  6. J.D. Drew 408
  7. Nick Markakis 406
  8. Hanley Ramirez 400
  9. Brian Giles 398
  10. Manny Ramirez 398

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This is the fourth AL voting period after six seven in the books. The MLB Blog Poll votes on the MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of Year candidates in each league throughout the regular baseball season. In doing so, you get a cumulative snapshot of the award winners, instead of the single vote. That way we get constant feedback as the year goes on.

American League Most Valuable Player Vote Week #7

  1. Josh Hamilton – 285 points
  2. Kevin Youkilis – 167 points
  3. Carlos Quentin – 160 points

The player ranked first on a ballot is assigned 14 points, the player ranked second is assigned 9 points, and the player ranked third is assigned 8 points. Click to see the actual votes.


American League Cy Young Vote Week #7

  1. Cliff Lee – 122 points
  2. Daisuke Matsuzaka – 48 points
  3. Zach Grienke – 29 points

The player ranked first on a ballot is assigned 5 points, the player ranked second is assigned 3 points, and the player ranked third is assigned 1 point. Click to see the actual votes.

American League Rookie of the Year Vote Week #7

  1. Jacoby Ellsbury – 89 points
  2. David Murphy – 70 points
  3. Greg Smith- 46 points

The player ranked first on a ballot is assigned 5 points, the player ranked second is assigned 3 points, and the player ranked third is assigned 1 point. Click to see the actual votes.

The following blogs contributed to the Blog Poll results:

Baseball Digest Daily
Baseball Happenings
Baseball Musings
Seth Speaks
Fire Brand of American League
Brock For Broglio
Brew Crew Ball
Beyond The Boxscore
Fake Teams
RotoRob
Over the Monster
No Bias Baseball
Outs Per Swing
Bugs & Cranks
Talking Chop
Roto Junkie
Baseball Time In Arlington
CardinalsDiaspora
Tiger Tales
Kranepool Society
Cubs F/X
Roto Advice
Chicago Cubs Online
Baseball Legends
Roto Professor
DRays Bay
DisabledListInformer

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